Shortages (usually) 
      have a bracing effect 
      on consumers
      Commentary by PAT MURPHY
      
      If California truly is the harbinger of trends for the
      rest of the country, then nearby states watching California’s
      electricity chaos and rolling blackouts have reason to fret.
      Do other western states, such as Idaho, where demand for
      electricity is soaring with growth in industry and population, face bleak
      months ahead, as some pessimists forecast?
      Since the end of World War II, public
      utilities—electric, telephone, water, gas— generally have
      underestimated growth in booming western states and been stretched to meet
      demand.
      State regulatory commissions that are supposed to enforce
      "convenience and necessity" laws that require utilities to
      provide adequately for the public have a checkered record.
      No matter.
      My guess is that shortages have a bracing effect on
      American consumers, like a bucket of cold water to remind us that plenty
      has its limits and supply isn’t always there to meet our demands.
      Our bountiful society has known severe shortages only a
      few times in several generations. Each time, we survived handsomely. But
      when times improved, we inevitably broke promises to be more sparing in
      consumption.
      The Great Depression of the 1930s and World War II
      shortages of virtually everything ¾ clothing, food, appliances, gasoline,
      electricity ¾ forced a whole nation into austerity. But then good times
      returned when GIs returned home and industry rolled out every imaginable
      consumer goody.
      Although a relatively minor inconvenience, the Arab oil
      embargo of the early 1970s spawned autos that gave more mileage per
      gallon. But gas-guzzlers quickly returned with times of plenty.
      Now, the possibility of belt-tightening seems at hand
      again. Joblessness is rising, dark whispers of recession are on the lips
      of economists, electricity supplies are in doubt, the Middle East is in
      turmoil again.
      So what if we have to shrink consumption. A diet of any
      sort is good.
      #
      In baseball, batters are out after three strikes. In
      criminal justice laws in some states, three convictions and it’s a life
      sentence.
      Idaho’s Republican state party chairman, Trent Clark, is
      up to two strikes. At this rate, his mouth is bound to get him in trouble
      a third time.
      Will Republicans who think better of their party finally
      dump Clark?
      His first strike was when he trashed fellow Republican,
      Boise Mayor Brent Coles, for fulfilling obligations as outgoing president
      of the U.S. Conference of Mayors by presenting an award to outgoing
      President Clinton for helping cities.
      His second strike was last week when he defended the
      Kootenai County Republican chairman under fire for an old drug arrest by
      stupidly using a metaphor about African Americans ¾ that it would be
      tough to find a black man in Washington, D.C. without a criminal history.
      Despite his unzipped lip and utterly bizarre judgment for
      a man in his position, Clark so far seems safe in his job.
      Idaho’s top Republicans obviously haven’t gotten the
      word that spiteful outbursts that symbolized the days of the unrestrained
      Newt Gingrich have been replaced by the "charm offensive" of
      George W. Bush.