If the presidential election were tomorrow, Barack Obama wins. If the race doesn't change dramatically this month, Obama still takes the White House. And if current trends continue until Nov. 4, Obama glides into office. Campaign dynamics may still change, but let's be certain that Idaho wins on Election Day.
If Barack Obama becomes America's next president, what does this mean for the Gem State? To answer, one must delve further into party dynamics. Currently, Democrats hold majorities in both legislative bodies, majorities that are predicted to increase on Election Day.
In Idaho's 1st Congressional District, controversial incumbent freshman Bill Sali is up against challenger Walt Minnick. Sali, a low-seniority, ultra-conservative fringe player, would continue to be of little help to Idaho in a Democrat-controlled Congress.
In Idaho's Senate race, Larry Craig's vacated seat will go to Democrat Larry LaRocco or Republican Jim Risch. Like Sali, though, Risch's far-right, freshman position in a minority party would be similarly unfortunate for Idahoans.
Let's keep an eye on these races. If Obama wins and Democrats strengthen their control in Congress, Idaho would do best with Walt Minnick and Larry LaRocco, two immensely qualified candidates.
Jeremy Fryberger
Ketchum